UCLA
W-L: (38- 1) PR = 99.9000Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 77-53 1106 A Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 87-50 1110 A Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) 73-59 1113 A No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 78-60 1115 A So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 94-61 1123 A Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 88-37 1126 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 65-76 1127 A Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 89-59 1130 A Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 99-77 1207 A Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 80-59 1216 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) **-28 1220 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) **-44 1228 A Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 82-75 1231 A Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 97-61 103 A USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 80-46 111 A Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 83-61 114 A Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 76-58 114 A Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 76-58 118 A Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 97-67 121 A Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 96-48 125 A Northwestern B10 ( 8-21, 94.7) 80-46 128 A Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 80-67 201 A Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 88-65 204 A Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 86-46 208 A Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 69-66 211 A Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 86-63 215 A Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 92-48 219 A Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 82-67 222 A Wisconsin B10 (16-17, 95.6) 80-60 301 A USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 73-50 306 A Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 78-60 307 A Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 72-62 308 A Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 96-45 321 A Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 96-43 323 A Oklahoma St B12 (23-11, 96.6) 87-68 327 A Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 80-56 329 A Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 70-58 403 A Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 51-44 405 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 79-51
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A San Diego St 77-53 24 4 0.00
1106 A Santa Barbara 87-50 37 6 0.00
1110 A Oklahoma 73-59 14 2 0.00
1113 A No Carolina 78-60 18 2 0.00
1115 A So Florida 94-61 33 4 0.00
1123 A Southern 88-37 51 7 0.00
1126 H Texas 65-76 -11 1 - -2.82
1127 A Duke 89-59 30 2 0.00
1130 A Tennessee 99-77 22 3 0.00
1207 A Oregon 80-59 21 3 0.00
1216 A Cal Poly **-28 87 9 0.00
1220 A LB St **-44 62 8 0.00
1228 A Ohio St 82-75 7 2 0.03
1231 A Penn St 97-61 36 4 0.00
103 A USC 80-46 34 3 0.00
111 A Nebraska 83-61 22 4 0.00
114 A Minnesota 76-58 18 3 0.00
114 A Minnesota 76-58 18 3 0.00
118 A Maryland 97-67 30 3 0.00
121 A Purdue 96-48 48 4 0.00
125 A Northwestern 80-46 34 5 0.00
128 A Illinois 80-67 13 3 0.00
201 A Iowa 88-65 23 2 0.07
204 A Rutgers 86-46 40 5 0.00
208 A Michigan 69-66 3 2 0.15
211 A Michigan St 86-63 23 3 0.00
215 A Indiana 92-48 44 4 0.00
219 A Washington 82-67 15 3 0.00
222 A Wisconsin 80-60 20 4 0.00
301 A USC 73-50 23 3 0.00
306 A Washington 78-60 18 3 0.00
307 A Ohio St 72-62 10 2 0.03
308 A Iowa 96-45 51 2 0.07
321 A Cal Baptist 96-43 53 6 0.00
323 A Oklahoma St 87-68 19 3 0.00
327 A Minnesota 80-56 24 3 0.00
329 A Duke 70-58 12 2 0.00
403 A Texas 51-44 7 1 1.20
405 H So Carolina 79-51 28 1 1.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 H Texas 65-76 -11 1 - -2.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 77-53 -4.42 6.54 0.01 0.78 10.20
3 A Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 87-50 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.78 7.78
3 A Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) 73-59 -2.14 8.82 0.01 0.78 13.74
3 A No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 78-60 -2.48 8.48 0.01 0.78 13.21
3 A So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 94-61 -4.47 6.49 0.01 0.78 10.12
3 A Southern (18-14, 93.2) 88-37 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.78 6.70
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 65-76 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.78 -0.32
3 A Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 89-59 -2.30 8.66 0.01 0.78 13.49
3 A Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 99-77 -3.34 7.62 0.01 0.78 11.88
3 A Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 80-59 -2.88 8.08 0.01 0.78 12.59
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) **-28 -8.78 2.18 0.01 0.78 3.40
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) **-44 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.78 4.42
3 A Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 82-75 -1.98 8.98 0.01 0.78 14.00
3 A Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 97-61 -4.43 6.53 0.01 0.78 10.18
3 A USC (18-14, 96.8) 80-46 -3.05 7.91 0.01 0.78 12.32
3 A Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 83-61 -3.55 7.41 0.01 0.78 11.54
3 A Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 76-58 -2.64 8.32 0.01 0.78 12.96
3 A Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 76-58 -2.64 8.32 0.01 0.78 12.96
3 A Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 97-67 -2.68 8.28 0.01 0.78 12.90
3 A Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 96-48 -4.34 6.62 0.01 0.78 10.31
3 A Northwestern ( 8-21, 94.7) 80-46 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.78 9.04
3 A Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 80-67 -3.20 7.76 0.01 0.78 12.10
3 A Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 88-65 -1.94 9.03 0.01 0.78 14.06
3 A Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 86-46 -5.35 5.61 0.01 0.78 8.75
3 A Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 69-66 -1.86 9.10 0.01 0.78 14.18
3 A Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 86-63 -2.71 8.25 0.01 0.78 12.86
3 A Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 92-48 -3.81 7.15 0.01 0.78 11.14
3 A Washington (23-11, 97.0) 82-67 -2.91 8.05 0.01 0.78 12.54
3 A Wisconsin (16-17, 95.6) 80-60 -4.32 6.64 0.01 0.78 10.35
3 A USC (18-14, 96.8) 73-50 -3.05 7.91 0.01 0.78 12.32
3 A Washington (23-11, 97.0) 78-60 -2.91 8.05 0.01 0.78 12.54
3 A Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 72-62 -1.98 8.98 0.01 0.78 14.00
3 A Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 96-45 -1.94 9.03 0.01 0.78 14.06
3 A Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 96-43 -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.78 8.48
3 A Oklahoma St (23-11, 96.6) 87-68 -3.29 7.67 0.01 0.78 11.95
3 A Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 80-56 -2.64 8.32 0.01 0.78 12.96
3 A Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 70-58 -2.30 8.66 0.01 0.78 13.49
3 A Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 51-44 -0.81 10.15 0.01 0.78 15.82
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 79-51 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.78 15.89
------
440.92
|
winning pts = 441.2353 losing points = -0.3184
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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